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| Feldwebel |
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if the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve as soon as possible to quantify the substantial easing, the BRICs money bubble may be restored. However, I suspect that this policy will not be introduced in time,Vetement Hollister, and the amount is not enough. Foam BRIC next year may eventually rupture. Because the word "BRIC", thousands of hedge fund was born, and the formation of a huge bubble of hot money. Only 10 years ago,air jordan pas cher, the Internet craze, comparable only to.
India the best defense is to make a free floating currency, not to intervene,Doudoune Hollister, as the Asian financial crisis did in indonesia. India's foreign exchange reserves relative to the ratio of GDP, >
three forces are destroying the BRICs money bubble. First of all, the dollar exchange rate is on the rise. The United States of America's political deadlock limits the United States fiscal expansion, lead to the appreciation of the dollar. Secondly, excessive expansion of the European banks will squeeze trillions of euros to scale,giubbotto moncler, mass flow loss. The European Central Bank needs to pump enough liquidity to fill the gap. Third,giubbotti moncler donna, China's real estate bubble burst, lower commodity prices,piumini moncler uomo, which previously,Hollister Lille, this supports the emerging economies.
BRIC will undergo the severe test next year, some countries may experience an old-fashioned currency crisis. In 2008,giubbotti moncler donna, in response to the financial crisis, the major developed countries to relax monetary and fiscal policy. It makes a considerable part of capital flows to emerging economies, particularly the brics. So far, the hot money to support growth in these countries, but unfortunately, this kind of so-called growth just old-fashioned credit bubble.
next year may be in the past 20 years the situation of the most unstable year. A political crisis could engulf multiple faces major state transition. From the United States began to financial crisis, is now raging in Europe, may be some relative stability of major emerging economies into next year.
India monthly trade deficit of about $10000000000, the equivalent of GDP 7%-8%. The trade deficit gap filled by three channels: exports to the west, India labor service in overseas income and the inflow of hot money. However,abercrombie paris, these three sources are depleted in western countries: ability to buy India service to weaken; India labor income is affected by the turmoil in the Middle East; the flow of hot money has gone into reverse. India's foreign exchange reserves of about $300000000000, while the country's hot money is about two times,giubbotto moncler, with the outflow of hot money,coach online outlet, the reserves will soon be exhausted. Once the rupee devaluation, India's foreign exchange reserves will be exhausted in a few days.
Brazil and India may be the currency devaluation. If not handled properly,hollister polo, for example, with its limited foreign exchange reserves to support their own currencies, delusion so, once the depletion of foreign exchange reserves, it could explode into currency crisis. Despite the favorable terms of trade, have large deficits are Brazil and India's current account. However, due to the inflow of hot money, they have accumulated large foreign exchange reserves.
The 2012 China economic growth may halve
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